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- A visit to the 17th ARPA symposium
- __________________________________
- by Paul McGinnis, November 13, 1994
-
- After deciding that I needed a vacation, I decided to spend October 25 to
- October 27, 1994 at the 17th ARPA Symposium in San Francisco, CA. ARPA is the
- Department of Defense's Advanced Research Projects Agency, the people who
- gave the world both the Stealth fighter aircraft (HAVE BLUE program) and the
- Internet. I went for 2 reasons -- to learn about new technologies (I'm an
- engineer) and to see if there would be any leaks about classified military
- programs, that would help in my fight against excessive military secrecy.
-
- The first session started off with various ARPA officials explaining ARPA's
- mission, followed by 2 senior Department of Defense officials, Dr. Paul
- Kaminski, Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition and Technology), and
- Dr. Anita Jones, DoD's Director of Defense Research and Engineering. Dr.
- Kaminski talked about dual use technologies that could be used for
- both military and commercial uses, and increasing DoD's use of off-the-shelf
- commercial technology. Dr. Jones discussed developing new technologies to
- protect soldiers in urban environments. She had some interesting charts
- that showed that in 0602xxx and 0603xxx Program Elements in the RDT&E
- (Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation) budget, 6% was spent for
- aerospace vehicles, and 6.5% was spent for electronic warfare and directed
- energy weapons (such as lasers). After their presentations, questions
- were taken from the audience.
-
- I stunned Dr. Jones and the crowd, by asking the question that no one else
- there would have dared to ask -- Why does DoD still have so many classified
- Special Access Programs, after the end of the Cold War? After an awkward
- silence, she answered that "there are so many because of the technologies
- involved." She expects the number to decline as more commercial technology
- is used by DoD. It is accepted by people in Congress that security costs
- for classified programs account for 14% of their cost.
-
- This question led to a conversation with ARPA's security director, Matt
- Donlon, who wanted to know why I was interested in classified programs. I
- explained some of my activities trying to reform excessive secrecy. There
- was an interesting disclosure - I mentioned Lockheed's secret radar cross
- section (RCS) facility north of Helendale, CA, and he admitted that he
- had been there and it "was a nice facility." Since he hasn't been in this
- job for long, one wonders what ARPA has up its sleeve that requires the
- presence of its security director at a remote airfield in California's
- Mojave Desert. Perhaps this ties in with something mentioned during an
- ARPA presentation on composite materials for aircraft, where the speaker
- mentioned that Lockheed's Skunk Works (Lockheed Advanced Development Co.)
- was a key provider of composite materials for a project. Composite materials
- can be used in low-observable (Stealth) aircraft, and typically consist
- of fibers (such as carbon-carbon or fiberglass) aligned in the same
- direction in a matrix of material, such as epoxy resin.
-
- The next day produced some more valuable information, during programs on
- the recent ARPA/CIA Tier 2+ Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) program and
- a program code-named WAR BREAKER, for locating and destroying mobile
- ballistic missile launchers, like those used for Scuds. The Tier 2+ program
- had a great emphasis on price, with Harry Berman from ARPA stating, "if
- you turn the engine off at 65,000 feet, everything that hits the ground
- must cost less than 10 million dollars." It was also revealed that the
- Tier 2+ aircraft will produce 50 megabits per second of digital data, and
- that needs to be compressed so that the aircraft only needs to transmit
- at 1.5 megabits per second. Another goal is to use artificial intelligence
- based software for automated target recognition and detection, with an
- error rate of less than 1 error per square kilometer.
-
- The WAR BREAKER program is a response to the inability of the U.S. to
- locate Scud missile launchers during the war in Kuwait. One of the speakers
- made a statement that would have made a great line in the Peter Sellers'
- movie "Dr. Strangelove", by saying "we have to find the target before we
- can put metal on it!". It was revealed that at any point in time, the
- U.S. has 5 to 10 imaging satellites in orbit, with a spatial resolution
- better than 1 meter, that image 40,000 square nautical miles [137,200 sq. km]
- per day. Several imagery programs were also revealed, such as DRAGNET
- (imaging of moving targets), EXPOSE (attempts to "see through" foliage"
- with UHF signals), and MONITOR (automated target recognition). Since I've
- been studying imaging techniques, for my own purposes, the material presented
- during the WAR BREAKER program was quite interesting. For example, I've
- been tinkering with digital airborne radar. Among the data sets that I have
- is a SLAR (Side Looking Airborne Radar) set that covers a 1 degree by
- 2 degree section of southern Nevada, including part of the Nevada Test Site.
- One of ARPA's digital radar programs involves signal processing of the data
- to give a pseudo three-dimensional image. This could be useful in making
- certain man-made features stand out.
-
- The ARPA symposium discussed a number of advanced technologies, including
- "Scalable High Performance Computing", "Mobile and Wireless Technology",
- "Electronic Packaging & Interconnects" (ARPA is putting multiple ICs in
- the same physical package), "Operations Other Than War" (the military is
- developing technology to help the police, such as wall-penetrating radars
- and a miniaturized solid state audio recorder for surveillance), "Uncooled
- & Novel Infrared Detectors" (a vast number of military devices use
- cryogenically cooled IR sensors - this area has a lot of potential), and
- "Micro-Electromechanical Systems" (tiny valves and actuators embedded in
- integrated circuits).
-
- However, they didn't discuss ARPA programs that I know about, such as
- BLACK LIGHT (PE 0605114E, a classified program with an unknown purpose),
- HAVE FLAG (PE 0208042F, a tactical missile developed with the Air Force,
- now going into production), or "Advanced Submarine Technology" (PE 0603569E,
- that aims to make stealthy submarines through the use of active impedance
- modification (AIM), special materials such as SUPRELITE, and the SDW (Stealth
- Designer's Workbench) software.
-
- It was an odd experience, being in "the belly of the beast" amongst all the
- people in expensive suits. Like other subcultures, they have a jargon all
- their own -- "leverage" and "paradigm shift" seem to be ARPA's favorite
- buzzwords. I was also informed that I should be grateful for being allowed
- to attend, since this was the first unclassified ARPA symposium. (The next
- one will be in about 18 months.) These people don't see the threat to the
- United States in realistic terms. They seem to have the view that if the
- U.S. has a particular advanced weapon system, so will every other country.
- For example, there was discussion about the threat of low-observable (stealth)
- aircraft from foreign countries, while the U.S. is the only country that
- has fielded such aircraft. I realize that the French and Russians are
- working in this area, but it will be a long time before they go into
- production. Stuck in the Cold War, they fail to see that the biggest threats
- to the U.S. at present are not military, but economic, in areas such as
- foreign trade, and the massive federal deficit. I wonder if they think about
- the damage they've done to national security by adding at least a trillion
- dollars to the deficit during the arms build-up of the 1980s.
-
- While I gained a lot of technical information at the ARPA symposium, I have
- to admit that the members of "the military industrial complex" started to
- really get on my nerves. In some ways, it was like sitting among Pavlov's
- dogs -- the audience would start to fall asleep during the presentations,
- but as soon as ARPA mentioned that they would provide money, the audience
- would snap to attention. Instead of salivating when Dr. Pavlov rang a bell,
- the audience would salivate when ARPA would say something like "we expect
- to spend $42 million next year..." I came away convinced that defense
- contractors and the Pentagon are one of the biggest special interest
- political groups in the United States. A MIT study suggested that the U.S.
- defense could cost $70 billion per year, instead of $270 billion per year,
- if our foreign allies would pay for their own defense and waste and
- unnecessary spending were eliminated in the Defense budget. A prime example
- of waste can be seen in the Navy's spending more than $1 billion for 24 new
- Trident-II submarine launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) in 1994, that would
- probably have to be scrapped as part of the START arms control treaty. I was
- disgusted by a conversation during lunch, where people from Boeing and
- McDonnell Douglas were moaning about the decline in inflation adjusted dollars
- spent on military procurement, and someone said, "What we need is a good war!"
-
- My past experiences with the U.S. military, have convinced me that they don't
- think I should raise these kinds of issues, because I'm just a taxpayer. But,
- to use a line from California's anti-tax measure Proposition 13 a number of
- years ago, "I'm as mad as hell, and I'm not going to take it anymore!" I
- intend to put more pressure on the military for accountability to the
- taxpayers.
-
- Paul McGinnis / TRADER@cup.portal.com / PaulMcG@aol.com
-
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